Powered By Blogger

Publius Speaks

Publius Speaks
Become A Follower

3/24/2020

The Stakes Have Changed (but deceptions remain) -- COVID19


On Wednesday night, March 18, 2020, Donald Trump spoke  to the American people from the Oval Office about the COVID-19 pandemic.  He announced that most air travel from Europe would be suspended for 30 days as well as all cargo shipments from Europe, and that health insurance companies would waive co-pays for all coronavirus treatments. These were attempts by the administration (and its Task Force) to deal with the lowering of the curve of active cases and to address some of the needs of people dealing with the coronavirus.
Unfortunately, although partially substantive, much of what the president said off-script simply wasn’t true or was self-aggrandizing. Trump’s team had to work hard the next day to roll-back the questionable verbiage uttered by their leader.

That was not the first time, nor the last, when Trump led the nation astray from the truth (and consequences) of the coronavirus (or some other glaring issue). Here is a brief look at some of the exaggerations and contradictions that have served no one but Donald Trump himself, and which tend to raise the stakes and push the rest of us toward disastrous outcomes. 

     1) His administration didn’t have enough early warning about the virus – mainly because, he claims, the Chinese did not share early information.  He has blamed China for the virus, calling it “the China Virus.” (To be fair: he has also talked about aid to China and other countries because, he says, “We’re all affected and one death anywhere is too much”).
 ON the OTHER HAND:
31 December 2019:  the World Health Organization (WHO) China Country Office was informed of cases of pneumonia with unknown cause detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China. The Associated Press was one of the first English language news accounts to report that China was investigating an “outbreak of respiratory illness in the central city of Wuhan.”
January 11 & 12, 2020: WHO received detailed information from the Chinese authorities that identified a new type of coronavirus, which was isolated on 7 January 2020.
January 12, 2020: China shared the genetic sequence of the novel coronavirus for countries to use in developing specific diagnostic kits.
January 21, 2020:  first case confirmed in the USA
WHO sends update: “There is now more evidence that 2019-nCoV spreads from human- to- human and also across generations.”
On January 22, 2020:  TRUMP declares: “We have it totally under control.  It’s one person coming in from China.” He also says that “a plan is in effect” but does not offer specifics. 
January 24, 2020: Senior officials from the CDC brief senators about the virus. Later, Trump posts his first tweet about the coronavirus. praising the Chinese government for its “transparency” handling the outbreak and says, “it will all work out well.”
January 29, 2020:  Trump announces the creation of the President’s Coronavirus Task Force to lead the “United States government response to the novel 2019 coronavirus”
January 31, 2020:  The Trump administration suspends entry into the United States by foreign nationals who traveled to China within the last 14 days.
March 13th – after two months go by, the Administration finally declares a National Emergency, in the face of:
  132,758 confirmed cases (7499 new) and 4955 deaths (342 new).  Global Risk: VERY HIGH with 123 countries affected (reported by the WHO).

     2)  The threat is low, and it will go away, perhaps like a miracle.  Throughout January and February and into March, Trump utters such sentiments, like on January 22 as quoted above, along with:
January 31st: “we think it's going to have a very good ending for it…that I can assure you.”  
February 25: “CDC & my administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus” “I think that’s a problem that’s going to go away.  They have studied it.  They know very much.”
February 26: “The 15 cases within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero”
February 27: “One day it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”  And, as recently as
March 10: “It will go away.  Just stay calm. It will go away.”
ON the OTHER HAND:
By February 1, 2020:  WHO had by this date produced all manner of reports, protocols; public health measures in keeping with its Mission and Strategic Plans, to:
• Interrupt human-to-human transmission including reducing secondary infections among close contacts and health care workers, preventing transmission amplification events, and preventing further international spread*
[ *This can be achieved through a combination of public health measures, such as rapid identification, diagnosis and management of the cases, identification and follow up of the contacts, infection prevention and control in health care settings, implementation of health measures for travelers, awareness-raising in the population and risk communication.]
• Identify, isolate and care for patients early, including providing optimized care for infected patients
• Communicate critical risk and event information to all communities and counter misinformation
• Minimize social and economic impact through multisectoral partnerships.
Perhaps, had the Trump administration paid more attention to the planning and strategies of the World Health Organization, there could have been a much earlier and effective response to this pandemic and its consequences.     

    3) He inherited a “broken, ineffective system” and his “talented” administration had to start over and make a great new system
What system is he talking about?  The healthcare system?  That’s been broken for a long time and the Donald Trump administration has broken it further by destroying the ACA, cutting scientific research and generally denigrating scientific method and inquiry; as well as ignoring the closing of rural hospitals and the need for increasing professional and non-professional staff almost everywhere.
ON the OTHER HAND – the Obama administration -- having learned something valuable about pandemics with the Ebola scare – established a pandemic unit connected to the White House to deal with such threats under the umbrella of the National Security Council.   That unit had been warning about the next pandemic for years and criticized the Trump administration’s decision in 2018 to dismantle that NSC directorate charged with preparing for when, not if, another pandemic would hit the nation.
Not only was there a mechanism, but in 2017, the Obama administration offered training to incoming Trump administrators, holding a conference and simulation exercise that few Trump people bothered to attend.  Trump (plagued by inbred racism toward President Obama) under the guise of ‘efficiency’ got rid of that mechanism early on, called the pandemic idea a “Hoax” and didn’t come up with his own Task Force on this new virus until too late to deal effectively with its effects and its threat. 
The vast delay in obtaining and distributing effective test kits and safety gear (PPE) and ventilators out to the local medical establishment (now turned over to the states to manage) made this new (‘non-delivery’) system look like a joke.  But it’s no joke, because the disease will continue to spread and people will die because this administration did not (and does not) have the will or the organizing skills to get it done, putting everyone of us in danger.

    4) “Federal government is not a ‘delivery service’” – according to Trump, it is simply a “support” for states, regions and municipalities who are responsible for management of resources.  This trumped-up definition (and attitude) can and does lead to blaming those other entities if respirators and PPE are in short supply or remain undelivered.
ON the OTHER HAND – in a national emergency like this one, the federal government must lead: it must find resources and deliver supplies and equipment as well as extra funds. It must be totally committed to the business of taking care of people. The fabricated tripod of federal government giving ‘support’; local states and municipalities ‘managing’ and the people following necessary guidelines is nothing more than a way to get out of doing what the federal government must do in emergencies: it must act as the manager of the crisis and facilitator of responses; it must organize and support the local states and their populations and it must enlist, organize and utilize the local governments, the private sector, and people-power in every corner of this nation. 
One of the main reasons we have a strong central government is to provide a nationwide response when that is necessary. 
While Trump should be commended for caution in how government uses corporations and smaller businesses to aid in this crisis, for him to depend entirely on voluntary offers from public and private entities for beds, equipment and protective gear is probably going to prove not to be the best strategy because the need is so great and the situation so dire. 
The Emergency Powers Act of 1975 grants broad powers to the President to mobilize all sectors of society, including the business sector.  Use of the Defense Production Act will also be of great advantage in using military resources to fight this virus.  A crisis like this one demands that some such mobilization be carried out under national leadership and authority. Using FEMA as the central point of assistance to states, for example, is probably a helpful action as is use of the military in NYC to convert the Javits Center to accommodate hospital beds.
Of course, the states and municipalities must act at their level to use resources effectively, but we should not expect them to find all the resources they need on their own when what is needed is national purpose and implementation.  
However, independent and innovative action is what the capable Governors of New York and California have performed when they needed to fill the gaps of response from the federal government.  Kudos to Andrew Cuomo of New York and Gavin Newsom of California, as well as others like Inslee in Washington State, and those of other states who have made their constituents proud of their abilities and their humanity (not including the Governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, who has expressed his perverse willingness to exchange a certain percent of lives for the rejuvenation of the business sector).

5)  Trump uses his power to blame others for any problems or errors --presenting the stark image of a team with one member who does little of the project work but takes all the credit for successful outcomes; or, the picture of a demoralizer who exacerbates the burden of anxiety and fear rather than helping to lift it off others.
The ‘buck stops here’ is pertinent to the way the Founders set up the office of the President.  After all, to  legitimately claim the title of Commander-in-Chief or President of the United States, or to effectively make use of the executive powers of the Office to the advantage and the welfare of the people, one cannot escape taking responsibility for presidential actions, or the lack thereof. 
Moreover, since the President has the solemn duty to “take care that the Laws be faithfully executed,” he can distribute responsibilities to departments and other entities, but he cannot place the blame for his own missteps and errors on others who work for him or who act for him.  Such an attitude is always counterproductive because it makes people too timid and cautious (as well as intimidated and compliant), reducing their creativity, their objectivity, their honest opinions and their level of commitment.
This kind of national emergency requires a team leader who values all team members, who invites their opinions and information, and who provides constant recognition and positive (and honest) feedback to each member.  He accepts total responsibility for the efforts and welcomes the contributions of every member.  Such a leader does not relegate anyone of value to the trash heap just because they express views that disagree with his own (i.e. where was Dr. Tony Fauci at the last Task Force press briefing?). And why is Trump beginning to talk about “getting back to work” by Easter which will surely cause new cases to spike dramatically. It sounds suspiciously like the attitude of the Texas Governor willing to trade a certain number of lives to save the economy.  
Trump needs to stay away from those press briefings and let the scientists lead the presentations based on scientific facts and method. But mostly, he needs to focus his administration on the primary concern of protecting and saving lives by following the very guidelines from his Task Force, using  all the time it takes to lower the threat of this pandemic.

)     6) We must bail out Big Business (and small) in order to give them the boost needed to come back strong after this is over. The Party line is that we:
a.      can’t let them disband which would mean a much longer process of recovery
b.      can’t nationalize businesses now because might lead to national-run corporations after the pandemic is over
c.      workers will be all right if we cut their payroll taxes, increase time period for receiving unemployment and delay income tax submission
On the OTHER HAND:
Has anyone asked what the outcomes are that need to take priority in this emergency?  Exactly what problems most need to be resolved?  Where will government (taxpayer) money best be spent to bring about the best results for circumstances made unlivable or untenable by this health crisis? 
The point might be put this way:  contrary to that infamous SCOTUS decision in Citizens United, corporations are not individuals, and should not be treated as such – they don’t catch viruses.  This legislation should be all about the human victims of this virus, and that includes the employees of corporations and small businesses.   We need to protect them, and in protecting their health, realize that health can be affected by economic stress. 
The first two bills related to this virus, that originated in the Democratic House, have reasonable economic and humanitarian purposes. This third Republican-sponsored Senate bill appears to be serving as a safety net for the Republican party by enabling its candidates to provide monetary awards without strings to their sponsors who can then distribute that money as they see fit.  Here’s what I understand this 3rd bill originally included:
·      small business retention loans at very low interest
·      $500 billion fund for businesses that would be under the control of Secretary Mnuchin
·      $1200 relief checks sent directly to citizens in need
However, even as I write, reports are that the bill is undergoing basic changes so the final product could end up to be much more acceptable.

Here’s a thought for consideration anyway: first, concentrate financial help on workers/employees –get relief checks to them through the payroll system and other payment systems that already exist. 
Second, treat businesses like any other group, organization or entity that wants to use federal taxpayer money to ‘bail them out’ or to ‘fund their enterprise.’  Treat corporations and businesses not as individuals, but as grant applicants. In a free market economy, it is not government’s business to bail out businesses. Not when we already agree with, and have in existence, the grant process.  Let’s use it, and apply what we ask of most federal grantees:
·      an application form that spells out the reasons for the grant and contains a pledge to operate the grant within specific guidelines and rules;
·      a Plan that details its use and expected outcomes
·      a Budget that shows how the Plan will be funded in order to accomplish the aims of the Plan
·      a brief plan for annual Assessment of program goals and outcomes, plus an Audit of spending of the grant
A SLUSH FUND for corporations and their Republican friends is totally UNACCEPTABLE. 
All efforts must KEEP FOCUSED on the needs and protection of front-line workers, wage earners, and vulnerable people. Continue to provide payments directly to workers to substitute for salary but under no circumstances should taxpayer money be given to corporations (or businesses) for bail-out without parameters for use and requirements for payback or giveback in the form of grantee benefits and outcomes that enhance their employees and/or communities, and help to mitigate this disease.

     7) The unspoken (but not hidden) truth:  It’s all about Donald Trump and his re-election.
Donald Trump should never be out front speaking for the Task Force
The scientists and experts should be the ones to answer reporter questions and to address the public.  Why?
Because Trump has no understanding of the depth of this disaster and cannot restrain from making statements that attempt to enhance his status rather than the welfare of those directly affected
Donald Trump is running for another term as POTUS; everything he says or does must be seen in that context
Moreover, he is afflicted with what is described in some psychiatric textbooks as a personality disorder: “Narcissistic personality disorder is a clinical mental illness characterized by clearly maladaptive patterns of narcissistic behavior, such as obsessional ego-centricity or total lack of empathetic behavior.”(yourdictionary.com)  This disorder untreated makes for behaviors that are not suited to a person with total responsibility for the welfare of millions of other people.  Vital decisions are apt to be made on the dangerous basis of what is beneficial to that one person’s status and needs.
Donald Trump is not only ill-prepared for his position and thus incompetent, he is mentally unfit and completely unable to carry out the responsibilities, the obligations and the duties of that office because he cannot put the needs of other individuals above his own.

In conclusion, then, I must assert that the stakes have changed.  This is no longer merely a question of delay or inadequate actions or lack of federal administrative planning and implementation.  This is now a matter of life or death. 

Each of us -- particularly those who are elderly with vulnerabilities – are now, because of the lack of supplies and equipment, subject to someone deciding who gets the benefits of a respirator and who doesn’t; of who gets a strong multi-use drug and who doesn’t; of whose life rates greater attention and whose doesn’t.  Without a universal vaccine – which is probably 1.5-2.5 years away – there will be a decision-making process that brutalizes us and threatens our lives. 
Donald Trump has not protected us and will not protect us if he continues his goal of getting people back to work by Easter.  He is too busy saving businesses, making sure he benefits, seeking re-election, and enhancing his status and power as President of these United States.  Which means that those who vote for him and support him monetarily are not only supporters of death by the flip of someone’s coin but are complicit in the neglect and loss of our safety, our rights, and our welfare.  Most of all, they are complicit in the actions of a man with a personality disorder that can lead to a disastrous consequences.
 
The stakes have changed.  We are approaching the point at which decisions about who lives and who dies may be forced upon us.  While Trump supporters are part and parcel of bringing this about, they are also potential victims who could be next on the gurney that gets shoved to the side where their lives will not be saved.
The number of victims is climbing, and the hospitals and medical front lines are screaming for help.  Approval of -- or Voting for -- Trump (and his minions) is a potential vote for death -- maybe that of a stranger, a friend, a neighbor, a loved one – or maybe your own! 

DON’T GAMBLE WITH YOUR LIFE – REJECT TRUMP!